Rouhani visit: Pakistan’s Balancing Act

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani concluded a two-day visit to Pakistan a few weeks ago, meeting with top civilian and military leadership to improve bilateral relations and strengthen economic ties. His visit was crucial considering Pakistan has yet to make use of the relaxed sanctions on Iran. The visit was also being watched closely in Saudi Arabia since Islamabad has attempted to play a proactive role in easing recent tensions between Tehran and Riyadh. Though deepening economic integration with Iran is beneficial for Pakistan, relations with Saudi Arabia and stability in the Middle East are geopolitically important. President Rouhani’s visit was yet another piece of Islamabad’s balancing act between Riyadh and Tehran.

Rouhani’s visit to Pakistan was his first as the Iranian president and comes as a result of an invitation by Prime Minister Sharif.  During the visit, matters of mutual interest such as border security, terrorism, and trans-border crimes like drugs and human trafficking were discussed. The leadership of both countries signed six memoranda of understanding (MoUs) addressing multiple fields including health, commerce, finance, and foreign services. However, the most significant was an agreement on the Five-Year Strategic Trade Cooperation Plan. Under this plan, both states agreed to enhance bilateral trade volume up to $5 billion from the existing $270 million in the next five years. In addition, the five year plan includes negotiations on Iran-Pakistan Free Trade Agreement, removal of non-tariff barriers, reactivation of the joint business council, and establishment of border markets, among other initiatives.

Prime Minister Sharif also mentioned that the two sides decided to open two more border crossing points to boost trade and facilitate people-to-people contact. The possibility of sea trade through Pakistan’s Gwadar Port and Iran’s Chahbahar Port was also explored. A senior Iranian official announced that a Pakistani delegation would visit in regards to a natural gas deal, which had previously been a casualty of international sanctions against Iran. Thus, Pakistan-Iran commercial engagement seems to be on the upswing.

However, Islamabad is acutely aware of its domestic sensitivity to trouble in the Middles East. Thus, Pakistan has been trying to develop a modus vivendi between Iran and Saudi Arabia to avoid sectarian confrontation at home. Sectarian polarization and political instability in the region could lead to serious security and economic repercussions for Pakistan through sharpening of social cleavages in the country—Pakistan has a history of sectarian violence rooted in the Sunni/Shia split dividing the Middle East. Thus, the Pakistani leadership has been actively engaged in attempting to defuse tensions in the region. Maintaining good relations with both Riyadh and Tehran is very much related to keeping peace in the Muslim Ummah, since Pakistan is aware that an armed conflict between the two countries could destabilize the region and beyond.

Pakistan’s decision to reshape its Middle East foreign policy towards neutrality has faced difficult challenges. Pakistan refused to participate in the Saudi-led operation against Houthi rebels in Yemen. A special joint session of Parliament unanimously passed a resolution declaring that the country would remain “neutral” in the Yemen conflict. Still, the Parliament reiterated support for Riyadh and affirmed that in case of threat to holy places, Pakistan would stand “shoulder to shoulder” with Saudi Arabia and its people. The much-needed visit of Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and Chief of Army Staff Raheel Sharif to Riyadh and Tehran in January was commended by both domestic and foreign stakeholders. Pakistan’s willingness to host a meeting between Saudi Arabia and Iran, and its proposal to appoint a focal person to address the Iran/Saudi conflict are also encouraging signs.

Islamabad needs to continue this balanced policy towards the two major Middle Eastern powers. Building and maintaining friendly relations with Muslim states and discouraging confrontation should be the cornerstone of Pakistan’s foreign policy going forward. Peace and harmony in the Middle East can lead to peace and harmony in the entire Muslim world. Hence, Pakistan should follow its policy of delicate neutrality and make hay while the Western sun shines on Iran.


Image: Anadolu Agency, Getty

Posted in , Cooperation, Economics, Iran, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Security

Yasir Hussain

Yasir Hussain was an SAV Visiting Fellow in July 2017. He holds a masters degree in International Relations from Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad. He has a deep interest in global issues, particularly nuclear arms control and disarmament, nuclear safety and security, political economy, and conflict resolution. He tweets @yasirhunzai1.

Read more

Continue Reading

Stay informed Sign up to our newsletter below

4 thoughts on “Rouhani visit: Pakistan’s Balancing Act

  1. Yasir,
    Strong post.
    A tightrope walk — agreed.
    Pakistan slipped by building a media campaign around a purported Indian spy. Rouhani made it clear he had no interest in being brought into this stage play. That was a bit awkward.
    The campaign continues about Indian spying. But it is crude and badly overplayed. It only serves to prompt a guessing game as to which of several possible hidden agendas is being pursued.
    Part of a domestic power play? A cover for smothering a renewed dialogue with India and burying the Pathankot investigation?
    As for Pakistan and Iran, both have strong interests in keeping relations on an even keel. The kerfluffle over an impeccably attired maritime spy/entrepreneur proves that.

  2. Yasir,

    Thanks for writing such a well informed and important piece on this relationship.

    Are there any other steps you feel Pakistani law-makers could be taking?

  3. Dear MK,

    Thank you for the comments.

    According to the government sources in Pakistan, Iran has conveyed to Pakistan that it is investigating whether an Indian spy, Kulbhushan Jadhav, arrested in Balochistan crossed the border illegally or was picked up from its soil.

    In addition, Pakistan has already shared recent development on spy episode with SAARC countries that shows that its not a propaganda to deviate attention from Pathankot attacks. Besides that Pakistan JIT has already said that Pathankot attack was staged by India.

    Both Iran and Pakistan enjoy friendly relations and both are aware of the fact that terrorism in any form can create hurdles for peaceful neighborhood. Iran needs Pakistan to reduce tensions in Middle East and Pakistan has been actively engaged in peace process. Iran will also take Pakistan’s concerns on Indian spy seriously. Pakistan seems very concerned with this spy case. We will wait to see what happens next

  4. Mariah,

    Thank you.

    If you are referring to spy case, Yes Pakistan will take extra measures. Balochistan is very crucial for Pakistan and for success of CPEC. Peace in Balochistan directly related with successful implementation of CPEC.

    In case of Middle Eastern issue, of course Pakistan will act as a catalyst to reduce conflicts between Riyadh and Tehran. Pakistan’s role has been encouraging so far and it will maintain its peace initiatives with same or even greater momentum.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *